Street Capitalist: Event Driven Value Investments

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Street Capitalist: Event Driven Value Investments

Sheila Bair on Mortgage Workouts

Sheila Bair has long been a proponent of a new plan for mortgage workouts, to help borrowers who may be stuck in unaffordable mortgages as they reset to higher rate and are unable to refinance. Specifically, Bair has been critical of the bailout plan for not having enough support for mortgage borrowers.

I think that something like this might be able to gain some more traction, it would at least help stabilize the value of these packaged mortgages which would surely fall if borrowers completely defaulted:

By achieving mortgage payments for borrowers that will be both affordable and sustainable, these distressed mortgages will be rehabilitated into performing loans and avoid unnecessary and costly foreclosures. We expect that by taking this approach, future defaults will be reduced, the value of the mortgages will improve, and servicing costs will be cut. The streamlined modification program will achieve the greatest recovery possible on loans in default or danger of default, in keeping with our statutory mandate to minimize impact on the insurance fund and improve the return to uninsured depositors and creditors of the failed institution. At the same time, we can help many troubled borrowers remain in their homes. Under the program, modifications are only being offered where doing so will result in an improved value for IndyMac Federal or for investors in securitized or whole loans, and where consistent with relevant servicing agreements.

Applying workout procedures for troubled loans in a failed bank scenario is something the FDIC has been doing since the 1980s. Our experience has been that performing loans yield greater returns than non-performing loans. In recent years, we have seen troubled loan portfolios yield about 32 percent of book value compared to our sales of performing loans, which have yielded over 87 percent.

Through this week, IndyMac Federal has mailed more than 15,000 loan modification proposals to borrowers, and has called many thousands more in continuing efforts to help avoid unnecessary foreclosures. While it is still early in our implementation of the program, over 3,500 borrowers have accepted the offers and many more are being processed. We are still working to verify incomes, but thousands of borrowers are already making their modified payments. I am pleased to report that these efforts have prevented many foreclosures that would have been costly to the FDIC and to investors. This has been done while providing long-term sustainable mortgage payments to borrowers who were seriously delinquent. On average, the modifications have cut each borrower’s monthly payment by more than $380.

Full Testimony of FDIC Chairman Sheila C. Bair

Category: Global Macro

View Comments

  1. cc says:

    You people who want us responsible people to bail out the irresponsible make me so darn angry.. Why not just replace “distressed homeowner” with “distressed credit card usurious rates” or “distressed 401k plans”.. Where the heck does it end!!! What makes the homeowners so special? I lost my job .. so where is my help with my interest payments on my credit cards?

    “Bair contends any rescue plan should focus more on the plight of distressed “———”, whose higher-than-expected “—-” payments due to rate resets have them over-extended in a slowing economy. “

  2. Tariq says:

    CC, a lot of what you say is correct.

    I think what Blair is really trying to do is stabilize home prices and mortgages, which is a difficult thing to do right now. If tons of people are kicked out of their homes prices should fall and the underlying mortgages should fall in value since they’ll see a skyrocket in default rates.

    So it is unfair that some people gaming the system will benefit from this, but it seems like that in light of the crisis there’s really a limited amount of options available.

  3. Paul Cronley says:

    Here’s a better idea rather than just helping the distressed:

    A simpler, more effective long term, bottom up approach makes more sense.
    Have the federal government mandate all mortgage lenders (especially Freddie and Fannie) offer a 3.5% 30yr mortgage to all US home owners. This would put hundreds of dollars per month into households for saving, spending or reducing debt. And, in the case of those facing foreclosure, it could help people keep their homes. It would help fix the economy from the ground up and give us a stable foundation for the road to recovery.

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About Me

My name is Tariq Ali, I run Street Capitalist. I recently graduated from the University of Texas at Austin. There, I stumbled onto value investing via the school library. I read everything I could and now I'm here, writing out my thoughts and investment ideas.


I have a lot of heroes when it comes to investing, it seems like every investor has some kind of niche. Some, whose books and writings have had the biggest impact on me are: Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Joel Greenblatt, Seth Klarman, and George Soros.


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